He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. If you are stacking an AM/PM tee time this week, it could also be advantageous to make PM/AM stacks as well. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Recent PGA Champions 4. Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? We hate touts. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Thats enough for me! The PGA Championship features a stacked field of golfers that will compete at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler, the No. K.H. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Sportsbook Keegan Bradley To Win: +8000 Top-5 Finish: +1100 Top-10 Finish: +500 Top-20 Finish: +200 The 2011 PGA Champion is beginning to look like his former self in that he is contending on a regular basis. (And if youre looking to place any of these bets yourself, we teamed with BetMGM, and the online sports book is offering a new promotion: Make a risk-free bet up to $1,000. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? In order to score well at Southern Hills,. He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. March 8, 2022 6:50 pm ET The PGA Tour is in Ponta Vedra Beach, Florida, for one of, if not the, biggest non-major of the year. His driver is a skill that will translate. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. He also has two Tour victories (Puerto Rico Open & Mayakoba Classic) on paspalum. Metrics wise, Hovland pops off the charts, ranking fourth in both "Strokes Gained: Total" and "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee," sixth in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 23rd in "SG: Approach" this season. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. 21+ only. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. Y.E. . Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. Days lone major came at the 2015 PGA Championship. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. So, good putters should fare well on this course. There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. Now lets dig into some longshots.. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. If youve come to this page before, youll know that one of the items I like to check before making a major championship bet is seeing where the public money is going. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. (Photo: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports). I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. 17. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Only 17 players from that tournaments field will return this week, but most are well into the twilight of their careers. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. Were about to have a little bit more. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's PGA Championship. After slotting at No. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. He shines at major championships. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. No promotions available. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. Noren is not the Oklahoma State player that everyone would expect to win this week, but his game fits this course well and he excels in the wind. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. He went T-2 at the Wells Fargo and T-3 at the RBC Heritage in his last two starts. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. Elsewhere, Scott is 80-1 or lower. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. Cut to Wayne and Garth from Wayne's World, as excited as possible for being. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills, What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. Pictured: Max Homa. There has been a lot of talk about how Southern Hills is Schefflers favorite course, and rave reviews came from his recent practice round there. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? Woods is projected under 10% owned. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. The PGA Tour had a weird 2022. This +11500 number is exclusively at WynnBet. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. 1 value play in the event. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Try selecting a different location. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. Still, he drives and putts well enough to draw consideration as an 80-1 sleeper pick. Click here to make your PGA picks The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. It could play out to what the forecast expects. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. All Rights Reserved. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. This will likely make scoring difficult. That kind of weapon can make or break a players week at a major championship. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . Sign up for an account to get into the action today. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. Yang is in the field. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. He earned his first green jacket via a Masters win that was virtually wire-to-wire. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He's long, he's straight, and he's an absolute menace from tee to green. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Who will win the PGA Championship in 2022? The PGA Championship has become a melting pot for difficult but fair conditions as of late, and the phrase "there's no faking it" has become synonymous with the championship's setup. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. Those odds are long enough for me to take the bait. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. The No. Over the last 20 rounds, Varner is seventh in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Hottest golfer on the planet. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. I expect Scheffler to find himself in the final pairing come Sunday, but Spieth will be there with him. Here are a few tips. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. Being a big hitter will help on this course, but having a great approach game will be the key to winning the Wanamaker trophy. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays Gooch has the game to contend this week and certainly offers value at a number this high. Sleeper pick: Robert MacIntyre, +15,000. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. No golfer has won the PGA Championship more than Jack Nicklaus. Collin Morikawa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas were either rising or established stars by the times of their. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. Maybe. (!!) His only top-15 this season that I just mentioned a moment ago? Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. To date, his performance in run-of-the-mill PGA TOUR events greatly outpaces his work in the majors. Some recency bias could be coming into play. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Who will disappoint? Still, if Fitzpatrick can get hot with the putter and if Berger can get a bit more distance in the Oklahoma heat, both could make a run at the top spot on the leaderboard. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. Im not going to overthink this. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ??