He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. His value is trending in the wrong direction. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. I'm out. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Jan 26 . Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Ricky Watters 20. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Has no highlight reel. I am a heretic in that regard. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. 5. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. . Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Marcus Allen 15. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. 21 RB Sleepers. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB20 | Consensus Projections RB20. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. 5 / 30. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. . Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Never a good idea. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Eric Dickerson 8. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. 1 status. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. . Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Chris "Beanie" Wells. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. 1 cornerstone. J.D. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. only site on the planet. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. 3) Micah Richards. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Preseason may help a little. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. The fact is, he never . Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Tony Dorsett 12. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October.
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